Xerez 2-2 Don Benito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.05
No
61%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
29%
+10.5pp
61%
BTTS No
71%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Don Benito EU Bookmakers 12%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.39
-46% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
447 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Don Benito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.12.2024 Don Benito Don Benito 0-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Don Benito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez and Don Benito couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Xerez carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Don Benito?

Xerez 2-2 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Don Benito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Xerez 66%, draw 19%, Don Benito 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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