Illescas 1-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.6pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
0.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.51
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +75%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cacereno
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 2-0 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
17.12.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 1-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
1-1
AWAY Cacereno
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas and Cacereno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Illescas had 55% of the ball to Cacereno's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cacereno led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Illescas and 1.50 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Cacereno?

Illescas 1-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Illescas 23%, draw 34%, Cacereno 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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