Don Benito 0-1 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.61
-26% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +81%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez edged past Don Benito 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Xerez made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs Xerez?

Don Benito 0-1 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Don Benito win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 35%, draw 34%, Xerez 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Don Benito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Don Benito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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