Venezia 1-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 Apr 2025

Venezia
1-0 HT 0-0
Monza
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Venezia vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.32
X/2
8%
9.11
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.46
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 24%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
0.66/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.42
-42% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.0 Crosses 12.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Venezia vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Monza
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.27 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 385
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 2-2 Venezia Venezia İTA
20.03.2021 Monza Monza 1-4 HT 0-2 Venezia Venezia İTB
11.12.2020 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
28.01.2001 Venezia Venezia 4-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
03.09.2000 Monza Monza 2-3 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB

Venezia 1-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
1-0
AWAY Monza
1.26 xG 0.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia nicked a narrow win over Monza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Venezia had 43% of the ball to Monza's 57%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Venezia and 1.60 for Monza.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Monza?

Venezia 1-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Venezia 45%, draw 27%, Monza 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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