Monza 2-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Oct 2024

Monza
2-2 HT 2-2
Venezia
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Monza vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.9
6+ Goals
7%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 35% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
16%
7.04
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.33
2/X
11%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.07/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.88
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.4 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Monza vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Venezia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.15 xG 1.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
442 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.03.2021 Monza Monza 1-4 HT 0-2 Venezia Venezia İTB
11.12.2020 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
28.01.2001 Venezia Venezia 4-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
03.09.2000 Monza Monza 2-3 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB

Monza 2-2 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
2-2
AWAY Venezia
1.14 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Venezia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monza had 46% of the ball to Venezia's 54%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.14 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monza and 2.75 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Monza vs Venezia?

Monza 2-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monza 40%, draw 29%, Venezia 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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