Inter 4-4 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
19.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.37
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
11%
8.79
X/X
16%
4.47
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
7.25
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.98/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.51
+22% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.4 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
521 Passes 368
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
26.04.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTK
04.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK
19.03.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.11.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-4
AWAY Juventus
2.99 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 5
328 Passes 391
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter and Juventus couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Inter had 47% of the ball to Juventus's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.99 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter and 0.83 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Inter vs Juventus?

Inter 4-4 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Inter 40%, draw 30%, Juventus 30%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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