Juventus 2-1 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
21.25
X/1
29%
3.62
X/2
6%
17.0
X/X
7%
6.05
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
10%
16.25
2/X
6%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.72
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.0 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lecce
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.87 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
446 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.01.2024 Lecce Lecce 0-3 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.09.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
03.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 2-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
29.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.06.2020 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-1
AWAY Lecce
1.56 xG 1.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
588 Passes 258
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus edged past Lecce 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventus had 66% of the ball to Lecce's 34%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.56 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Juventus and 0.33 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Lecce?

Juventus 2-1 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Juventus 57%, draw 22%, Lecce 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5
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