Deportivo (K) 3-1 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
47%
-13.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
0.96/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.26
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
12.3 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.16 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
214 Passes 324
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
7 Box Touches 51
7 Crosses 18
06.10.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo (K)
3-1
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.91 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 285
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo (K) saw off Badalona (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo (K) had 48% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Badalona (K).

What was the final score of Deportivo (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Deportivo (K) 3-1 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Deportivo (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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