Eibar (K) 0-3 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
9.57
Draw
33%
5.28
Away
33%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
8%
+25.7pp
33%
Draw
16%
+17.5pp
33%
Away Win
77%
-43.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.64/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/0.48
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
10.0 Crosses 22.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.24 xG 1.60
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
124 Passes 564
52% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2025 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
16.03.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
0-3
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.19 xG 3.72
20% Ball Possession 80%
4 Total Shots 31
3 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 6
68 Passes 587
41% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 56
10 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) swept aside Eibar (K) 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 20% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 80%, shots finished 4-31, expected goals 0.19 to 3.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eibar (K) and 0.50 for Real Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Eibar (K) 0-3 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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