Cobresal 1-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.51/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.53
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.2 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
247 Passes 401
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
06.04.2024 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
29.07.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.02.2023 U. Catolica 3-3 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
31.07.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
07.03.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
1-1
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 327
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal and U. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cobresal had 53% of the ball to U. Catolica's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.50 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cobresal and 1.67 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs U. Catolica?

Cobresal 1-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 42%, draw 28%, U. Catolica 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cobresal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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