San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v Atletico Tucuman — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-3
HT 0-1
San Lorenzo
ARJ
San Lorenzo 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Actual Match Statistics
San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 58% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 42%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.83 for Atletico Tucuman.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman?
San Lorenzo 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Atletico Tucuman?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 48%, draw 27%, Atletico Tucuman 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.