Banfield 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.45
Over
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
39%
1.98
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
16%
6.02
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
14%
5.11
X/2
11%
5.82
X/X
15%
3.4
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.79
2/X
10%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.18/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.93
-13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
24.3 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.61 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
185 Passes 290
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Banfield Banfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
30.05.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJK
01.04.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 HT 1-2 Banfield Banfield ARJ
04.05.2014 Banfield Banfield 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.48 xG 0.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
173 Passes 301
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield and Independiente Rivadavia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Banfield had 39% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 61%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.48 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Banfield had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Banfield and 0.50 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Banfield 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Banfield 35%, draw 32%, Independiente Rivadavia 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banfield), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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