Banfield 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
1.45
Over
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No Pick
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.26/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.18
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
24.7 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
200 Passes 300
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 HT 0-1 Banfield Banfield ARJK
01.04.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 HT 1-2 Banfield Banfield ARJ
04.05.2014 Banfield Banfield 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
2-0
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.59 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
153 Passes 268
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield beat Independiente Rivadavia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Banfield as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Banfield had 40% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 60%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.59 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Banfield had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Banfield and 0.67 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Banfield 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banfield 42%, draw 29%, Independiente Rivadavia 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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