CA Sarmiento 1-3 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.36
Over
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
35%
1.82
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
16%
7.97
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.1
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
8%
5.63
X/X
14%
3.08
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
5.04
2/X
5%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.07
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.3 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.89 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
280 Passes 279
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 3-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
14.09.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
09.05.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.10.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
07.11.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-3
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
2.01 xG 3.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
297 Passes 217
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago got the better of CA Sarmiento 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Central Cordoba Santiago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 57% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 43%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.01 to 3.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.40 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

CA Sarmiento 1-3 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 39%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba Santiago 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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