New Lambton FC 2-3 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-0 HT 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
02.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
24.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
01.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix squeezed past New Lambton FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valentine Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New Lambton FC and 1.75 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Valentine Phoenix?

New Lambton FC 2-3 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 28%, draw 22%, Valentine Phoenix 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valentine Phoenix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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