Valentine Phoenix 2-0 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
17%
+11.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
1W-2D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
24.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
01.04.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix got the better of New Lambton FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valentine Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 0.67 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC?

Valentine Phoenix 2-0 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 51%, draw 20%, New Lambton FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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