.png)
.png)
Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sydney (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
_small.png)
1-3
HT 0-3
_small.png)
Sydney (K)
AVUSTW
4-2
HT 2-1
Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
2-1
HT 0-1
Sydney (K)
AVUSTW
Sydney (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Sydney (K) nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sydney (K) had 44% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 56%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.13 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.40 for Perth Glory (K).
What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Sydney (K) 1-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 56%, draw 21%, Perth Glory (K) 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.