Grazer AK 1-0 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.6
Over 2.5
58%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.55
2-3 Goals
48%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.92
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
15%
6.26
X/2
20%
4.94
X/X
11%
3.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.42
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
59%
-16.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
41%
+16.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
0.61/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
-18% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
15.7 Crosses 16.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.07 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
15.09.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 1-1 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
07.04.2007 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-1 HT 2-1 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
23.09.2006 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 4-1 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-0
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.56 xG 0.93
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
160 Passes 331
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK squeezed past Rheindorf Altach 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rheindorf Altach at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grazer AK had 37% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 63%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.56 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grazer AK and 1.75 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach?

Grazer AK 1-0 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rheindorf Altach win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 31%, draw 25%, Rheindorf Altach 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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