Hartberg 0-1 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.91
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.65
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.93
X/2
15%
5.01
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.65 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.24/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.06
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.9 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 390
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
03.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.02.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.09.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
0-1
AWAY LASK Linz
0.35 xG 1.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
276 Passes 448
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 2
6 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Hartberg 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartberg had 40% of the ball to LASK Linz's 60%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.35 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartberg and 1.00 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Hartberg 0-1 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 33%, draw 23%, LASK Linz 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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