LASK Linz 1-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.19
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
10%
6.66
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.44/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.65
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.1 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
21.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.02.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
24.09.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
19.03.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-1
AWAY Hartberg
1.56 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
438 Passes 304
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz and Hartberg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 58% of the ball to Hartberg's 42%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.56 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for LASK Linz and 1.17 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

LASK Linz 1-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 47%, draw 28%, Hartberg 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LASK Linz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024
19:00 Salzburg vs Grazer AK Analysis →
19:00 Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien Analysis →