Gulf United 1-0 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
62%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.19/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.35
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-0 Gulf United BAE2
19.05.2024 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 2-1 Gulf United BAE2
06.01.2024 Gulf United 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf United
1-0
AWAY Al Dhafra
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf United edged past Al Dhafra 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Dhafra at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gulf United had 37% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 63%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Dhafra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gulf United and 2.33 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Al Dhafra?

Gulf United 1-0 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 20%, draw 18%, Al Dhafra 62%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Dhafra), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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