Chapecoense vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
3-4
HT 1-2
Chapecoense
BR1
Chapecoense 1-2 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba squeezed past Chapecoense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Coritiba made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 54% of the ball to Coritiba's 46%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 1.38 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chapecoense.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chapecoense and 1.33 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Chapecoense 1-2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 36%, draw 29%, Coritiba 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.