Coritiba vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
3-4
HT 1-2
Chapecoense
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
Coritiba 1-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba nicked a narrow win over Chapecoense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Coritiba had 52% of the ball to Chapecoense's 48%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coritiba and 1.50 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
Coritiba 1-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 50%, draw 29%, Chapecoense 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.