Ituano 0-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2024

Ituano
0-0 HT 0-0
Vila Nova
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ituano vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ituano v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ituano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.09/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
+18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.4 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ituano vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ituano
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vila Nova
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.94 xG 1.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Ituano Ituano 1-2 HT 0-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
25.05.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 1-0 Ituano Ituano BR2
06.08.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 Ituano Ituano BR2
24.04.2022 Ituano Ituano 3-1 HT 2-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Ituano 0-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ituano
0-0
AWAY Vila Nova
0.37 xG 0.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
206 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ituano vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ituano and Vila Nova fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Ituano had 40% of the ball to Vila Nova's 60%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.37 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ituano and 1.25 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of Ituano vs Vila Nova?

Ituano 0-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ituano vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ituano 34%, draw 32%, Vila Nova 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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