Mirassol FC 1-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.96
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.17/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.41
-25% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.1 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-0
AWAY Operario PR
0.60 xG 0.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
264 Passes 456
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC squeezed past Operario PR 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 38% of the ball to Operario PR's 62%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.60 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Operario PR?

Mirassol FC 1-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 46%, draw 30%, Operario PR 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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