Chapecoense vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
3-4
HT 1-2
Chapecoense
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
Chapecoense 2-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 41% of the ball to Coritiba's 59%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.63 to 1.41 — on chances, Coritiba could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chapecoense and 1.33 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Chapecoense 2-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 41%, draw 31%, Coritiba 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.