Amazonas 0-4 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 37% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.87
+4% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.1 Crosses 21.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Goias
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
264 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
0-4
AWAY Goias
0.64 xG 2.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
427 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias cruised past Amazonas 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 67% of the ball to Goias's 33%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 0.64 to 2.14.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Goias?

Amazonas 0-4 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 29%, draw 29%, Goias 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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