Brusque 2-1 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.24/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.16
-35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
25.6 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guarani FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.91 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
24.07.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
09.04.2022 Brusque Brusque 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
02.10.2021 Brusque Brusque 2-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
04.07.2021 Guarani FC Guarani FC 4-1 HT 3-1 Brusque Brusque BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
2-1
AWAY Guarani FC
0.81 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 8
347 Passes 525
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brusque edged past Guarani FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Brusque found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brusque had 42% of the ball to Guarani FC's 58%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.81 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brusque and 1.20 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Guarani FC?

Brusque 2-1 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brusque 37%, draw 33%, Guarani FC 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brusque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brusque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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