Santos 0-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Nov 2024

Santos
0-2 HT 0-1
CRB
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.28/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.33
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
25.8 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CRB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.27 xG 0.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
65 Passes 100
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2024 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
0-2
AWAY CRB
1.22 xG 1.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
416 Passes 201
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB saw off Santos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santos had 64% of the ball to CRB's 36%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.22 to 1.22.

What was the final score of Santos vs CRB?

Santos 0-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santos 48%, draw 29%, CRB 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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