Goias 1-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.50/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.99
+23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.1 Crosses 10.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-0
AWAY Amazonas
1.70 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
326 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Goias vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over Amazonas 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Goias had 54% of the ball to Amazonas's 46%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Goias vs Amazonas?

Goias 1-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Goias 49%, draw 27%, Amazonas 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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