Mirassol FC 3-0 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.22/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.31
-19% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.0 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 4-2 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
21.01.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
23.09.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-3 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
03.06.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
27.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
30.04.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-0
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.47 xG 0.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
400 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC swept aside Ponte Preta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 52% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 48%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.47 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.17 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Ponte Preta?

Mirassol FC 3-0 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 55%, draw 27%, Ponte Preta 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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