Ponte Preta 4-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Jul 2024

Ponte Preta
4-2 HT 1-1
Mirassol FC
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.32
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.2pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ponte Preta v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.80
-3% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.6 Crosses 19.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.64 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
308 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
23.09.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-3 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
03.06.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
27.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
30.04.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
26.07.2020 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU

Ponte Preta 4-2 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
4-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.96 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponte Preta saw off Mirassol FC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ponte Preta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 52% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 48%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.33 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC?

Ponte Preta 4-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 37%, draw 31%, Mirassol FC 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponte Preta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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