Paysandu 2-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Jul 2024

Paysandu
2-1 HT 1-1
Ceara
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Paysandu vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.92/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.38
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.1 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Paysandu vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
236 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.11.2017 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
29.07.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 1-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
21.08.2016 Paysandu Paysandu 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
14.05.2016 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
02.09.2015 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
23.05.2015 Paysandu Paysandu 2-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2

Paysandu 2-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
2-1
AWAY Ceara
1.06 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu squeezed past Ceara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Paysandu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paysandu had 56% of the ball to Ceara's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.06 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paysandu and 1.17 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Ceara?

Paysandu 2-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 36%, draw 29%, Ceara 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paysandu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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