Botafogo SP 0-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Jul 2024

Botafogo SP
0-1 HT 0-1
Amazonas
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Amazonas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.42
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Amazonas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.04/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.76
-34% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.0 Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Botafogo SP 0-1 Amazonas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-1
AWAY Amazonas
1.47 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
413 Passes 290
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas edged past Botafogo SP 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Amazonas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 57% of the ball to Amazonas's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.45 — on chances, Botafogo SP could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Amazonas?

Botafogo SP 0-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 38%, draw 33%, Amazonas 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo SP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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