Grenoble 1-2 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.9
Over
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.3
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.45
6+
7%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
6.41
1/2
5%
23.75
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
13%
8.26
X/2
17%
4.46
X/X
16%
5.01
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.21/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.17
+0% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.6 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Paris FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.60
42% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 501
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
06.04.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.08.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.05.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
10.09.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
14.05.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-2
AWAY Paris FC
0.84 xG 2.52
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
227 Passes 588
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC nicked a narrow win over Grenoble 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grenoble had 30% of the ball to Paris FC's 70%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.84 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paris FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grenoble and 1.50 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Paris FC?

Grenoble 1-2 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 23%, draw 32%, Paris FC 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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