Guingamp vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Lorient
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Lorient
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FRK
Guingamp 1-2 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Lorient nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lorient found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guingamp had 53% of the ball to Lorient's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.41 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guingamp and 1.67 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Lorient?
Guingamp 1-2 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 35%, draw 28%, Lorient 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.