HNK Cibalia 1-2 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.47/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
+14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
11.10.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
06.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-2
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb edged past HNK Cibalia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 57% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 43%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.33 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb?

HNK Cibalia 1-2 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 43%, draw 28%, Dubrava Zagreb 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
12 Apr 2025
14:50 Dugopolje vs Opatija Analysis →
17:30 Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci Analysis →
17:30 Zrinski Jurjevac vs Radnik Sesvete Analysis →