Dordrecht 4-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.46
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.78
X/2
9%
8.4
X/X
10%
5.67
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
11%
5.86
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.78/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.50
+29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.1 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.62 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 271
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
29.03.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
27.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-1 HT 3-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.03.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
4-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.44 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
263 Passes 183
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht ran out comfortable winners over Den Bosch 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 57% of the ball to Den Bosch's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dordrecht and 1.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?

Dordrecht 4-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 50%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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