Noordwijk 3-2 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.34/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.39
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 HT 0-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
06.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 HT 1-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
3-2
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk edged past AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Noordwijk had 48% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 52%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Noordwijk and 1.50 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Noordwijk 3-2 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 32%, draw 26%, AFC Amsterdamsche 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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