HHC Hardenberg 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.58
+6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 1-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
09.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
19.08.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg and Excelsior Maassluis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was HHC Hardenberg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 47% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 53%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 0.33 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

HHC Hardenberg 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 42%, draw 26%, Excelsior Maassluis 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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