Iwaki 0-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
0.92/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.92
-19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
233 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
24.03.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
04.11.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-3 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
11.06.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
235 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata edged past Iwaki 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Iwaki had 43% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 57%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Iwaki and 1.75 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Iwaki 0-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 34%, draw 25%, Montedio Yamagata 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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