Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.75
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.1 Crosses 13.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
170 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
10.03.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
19.08.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
08.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
21.08.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
19.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-1
AWAY Gainare Tottori
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki nicked a narrow win over Gainare Tottori 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 48% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 52%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.50 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 44%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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