Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.74
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
19.08.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
08.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
21.08.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
19.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
03.10.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-4 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
170 Passes 422
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki beat Gainare Tottori 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tegevajaro Miyazaki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 34% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 66%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.50 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 42%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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