Kataller Toyama 2-2 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.67/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.44
-4% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
10.09.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
04.06.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-0 HT 2-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
25.09.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-4 HT 0-3 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
05.06.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
17.10.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-2
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
388 Passes 166
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
36 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Kamatamare Sanuki couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 65% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 35%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kataller Toyama and 0.17 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Kataller Toyama 2-2 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 47%, draw 26%, Kamatamare Sanuki 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
29 Sep 2024
07:00 Fukushima United vs Parceiro Nagano Analysis →
08:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Yokohama SCC Analysis →
08:00 Grulla Morioka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Analysis →
08:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club Analysis →
12:00 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →