Grulla Morioka 3-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 1-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
11.11.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 6-1 HT 3-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
08.07.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
3-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
204 Passes 400
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka beat Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Giravanz Kitakyushu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 39% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 61%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grulla Morioka and 2.67 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Grulla Morioka 3-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 25%, draw 32%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✗ Under 2.5
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