Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +6%
1.62/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.06
+26% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 6-1 HT 3-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
08.07.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 0-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1
AWAY Grulla Morioka
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Grulla Morioka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 56% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 44%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 0.50 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Grulla Morioka?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 37%, draw 27%, Grulla Morioka 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ BTTS Yes
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