Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.22/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.13
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
19.03.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
09.10.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 4-1 HT 3-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
29.05.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
24.10.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
04.07.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-2
AWAY Fukushima United
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United edged past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fukushima United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 41% of the ball to Fukushima United's 59%, shots finished 11-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 35%, draw 24%, Fukushima United 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fukushima United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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