Ryukyu 2-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.52/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.46
+29% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
08.07.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
24.10.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
26.06.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-0 HT 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
09.06.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JPK
17.10.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-2
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Matsumoto Yamaga couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ryukyu had 44% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 56%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ryukyu and 0.83 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Ryukyu 2-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 33%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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