Omiya Ardija 1-0 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Gifu
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
26.07.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 5-0 HT 3-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
24.05.2015 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-5 HT 0-4 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY FC Gifu
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija nicked a narrow win over FC Gifu 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 53% of the ball to FC Gifu's 47%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 0.00 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs FC Gifu?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 43%, draw 26%, FC Gifu 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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