Sagamihara 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.51/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.51
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
345 Passes 177
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
25.09.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-2 HT 0-1 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
15.06.2022 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 2-1 HT 2-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
06.12.2020 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Vanraure Hachinohe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Vanraure Hachinohe 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sagamihara found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 37% of the ball to Vanraure Hachinohe's 63%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vanraure Hachinohe led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sagamihara and 1.25 for Vanraure Hachinohe.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Sagamihara 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 39%, draw 25%, Vanraure Hachinohe 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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